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EU Fiscal Policy Support to Bosnia and Herzegovina (2007-present)
Outline:The project is addressing the needs to establish fiscal policy making and centralised policy coordination capacities within the given complex multi-layer political and institutional structure in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). Major tasks within this project comprise: (1) Facilitating the process of fiscal policy formulation of the Governing Board (GB) of the Indirect Tax Authority (ITA); (2) Supporting the build-up of functioning cooperation between the relevant institutions; (3) Building capacity of economists and policy advisors of Macroeconomic Analysis Unit of ITA and of the Fiscal Council through targeted training methodologies; (4) Development of Financial Programming / Macroeconomic forecasting/ Fiscal Framework models and revenue forecasting sub-models; (5) Assisting the development of coherent fiscal data reporting; (6) Awareness raising activities for fiscal developments
Client:Ministry of Finance and Treasury of BiH; European Commission
Position:Key macroeconomic modelling/training expert
Material:Presentations
Scientific Roundtable "Information Society and Competition" (2007-2008)
Website:www.diw.de/wriw
Outline:The series of scientific roundtables is a forum for high-ranking and up-to-date discussions on various European competition policy issues with a special focus on highly dynamic markets like those coverd by the software industry. Major topics include (1) possible conflicts between intellectual property rights and contestable markets, (2) the practicability of the so-called "new economic approach" followed by the European Commission, (3) bundling within platform and system markets, and (4) interoperability issues. Each one-day event is structured into several blocks each of which is introduced by two keynote speakers. To ensure a lively atmosphere of discussion and stimulate the mutual exchange of ideas the overall number of participants is limited to 30 distinguished national and international experts.
Client:Microsoft Deutschland GmbH
Position:Organizer
Material:Publications
Economic Impact of the Office Open XML Document Format in Germany (2007)
Outline:The study examines the economic impact of the ECMA industry standard "Office Open XML“ (OpenXML) in Germany against the background of the impending decision regarding ISO certification for this document format. Given the existing ISO standard "Open Document Format“ (ODF), there is the matter of whether the certification of another document standard makes economic sense and what the economic consequences of denying certification might be. At the centre of this study, therefore, is an economic assessment of the technological differences of OpenXML compared to ODF. These fall into two main categories: downward compatibility with the previously established binary document formats of earlier versions of Microsoft Office on the one hand and greater functional scope on the other. An empirical approach (based on a survey of German Microsoft partners in June 2007) has been chosen for the evaluation of these differences.
Client:Microsoft Deutschland GmbH
Position:Team leader
BVL/DIW Logistics Indicator (2007-present)
Website:www.diw.de/logistikindikator
Outline:The quarterly BVL/DIW Logistics Indicator reflects the current business situation as well as the expectations over the next 12 months of Germany's logistics service providers and customers of logistical services in industry and trade. Each quarter a panel of 200 decision makers is polled (100 managers of the most important logistics service providers and 100 top executives of industrial customers of logistical services). The industry and trade panel covers a broad range of companies, e.g. Audi, Bosch, Siemens, Kraft Foods and Metro. The logistics service providers panel accounts for over 40 billion Euro, i.e. about one quarter of the German logistics market. 34 of the top 50 logistics service providers are included in the panel. In addition, questions covering special topics of current interest (such as infrastructure or security) are polled on an irregular schedule.
Client:BVL Bundesvereinigung Logistik e. V.
Position:Team leader
Material:Presentations, Publications
Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in Selected ASEAN Countries (2006-2008)
Outline:Given the high and rising degree of regional economic interdependence, it is important for East Asian countries to keep intra-regional exchange rates relatively stable. This is especially true for countries such as Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Viet Nam, or “CLV” countries, which share economic and financial structures. The project aims to provide CLV countries an opportunity to contribute to the discussion of regional currency systems/perspectives for future development and therefore improve the CLV-impact in ASEAN consultations. In particular, the project is meant to enhance the CLV countries’ capacity to better formulate and implement monetary and exchange rate policies and its contribution to regional monetary cooperation in the context of new developments in the regional monetary cooperation. To this end, the proposed study will focus on the following priority areas: (1) Review of domestic and regional monetary and exchange rate policies in CLV countries; (2) Calculation of Asian Currency Indices for the CLV countries; (3) Provision of policy advice for enhanced regional and sub-regional currency cooperation including a road-map for de-dollarization (short-, medium- and long-term); (4) Preparation of a report study on “Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in Selected ASEAN Countries: The Scope for Cooperation among Cambodia, Laos and Viet Nam in Light of New Regional Developments”
Client:Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Position:Deputy team leader
Material:Presentations, Publications
DIW business cycle barometer (2006-present)
Website:www.diw.de/konjunkturbarometer
Outline:Das DIW-Konjunkturbarometer liefert eine monatlich aktualisierte Schätzung der deutschen Wirtschaftsleistung (gemessen am saison- und kalenderbereinigten Verlauf des realen Bruttoinlandsproduktes) für das laufenden Quartal. Es liefert damit einen frühen Blick auf die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung am aktuellen Rand. Die Berechnung des DIW-Konjunkturbarometers folgt einem entstehungsseitigen Ansatz und stützt sich auf Indikatoren wie Produktion und Auftragseingang in wichtigen Wirtschaftszweigen. In einem ersten Schritt wird die Bruttowertschöpfung in den fünf Bereichen (1) Produzierendes Gewerbe (ohne Bau), (2) Bauwirtschaft, (3) Handel, Gaststätten und Verkehr, (4) unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen sowie (5) öffentliche und private Dienstleistungen berechnet. Diese werden dann in einem zweiten Schritt zur gesamtwirtschaftlichen Wachstumsrate verdichtet. Neben der aktuellen numerischen Schätzung enthält das DIW-Konjunkturbarometer eine Erörterung der aktuellen maßgeblichen Einflüsse auf die Konjunktur.
Position:Team leader
Franco-German Council of Economic Advisors (2006-present)
Outline:The Council, created in 2002, acts in an advisory, independentent and non-official function for the French and German government on a braod variety of issues such as fiscal and budgetary developments, financial markets, macroeconomic stabilization, energy policy, structural reforms and their implementation.
Client:Ministre de l'Économie, des Finances et de l'Emploi (French Ministry for the Economy, Finance and Employment)
Material:Presentations
Consultancy to develop and implement a macroeconomic model for Lesotho (2005-2008)
Outline:Development of macroeconometric and CGE models, improvement of the national accounts statistics (annual and quarterly), establishment of the model database, capacity building
Client:Ministry of Finance and Development Planning, Lesotho; European Commission
Position:DIW modelling team coordinator; Modelling and database expert
Material:Presentations
DIW International Consulting Program (2005-present)
Outline:Analysis of current and future macroeconomic trends for political and business decision makers
Position:Key expert for the German economy
Material:Presentations
Joint Forecast (2005-2007)
Outline:Preparation of bi-annual reports on the current situation and the outlook for the German economy in the context of the European and the world economic trends (2-year-horizon)
Client:Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft (BMWi)
Position:DIW expert for national accounts
The Economic Impact of Microsoft Deutschland GmbH on the German IT Sector (2003)
Outline:This study examines the economic impact of Microsoft Deutschland GmbH on the German IT sector with a special focus on the Microsoft partner program, which enables participating companies to develop their own business ideas based on Microsoft technology. Since the value of products offered by a platform producer like Microsoft increases in proportion to the number of partner companies, this business model benefits the partners and the platform supplier alike. As a consequence, the economic impact of a platform company on the software sector is more than the sum of its sales or payroll figures. It also includes the role the company has in creating business opportunities for other companies. This economic impact study analyzes the interrelationships of the Microsoft business model as well as its induced sales and related jobs.
Client:Microsoft Deutschland GmbH
Position:Team leader
Material:Presentations, Publications
Economic Assessment of Open Source-Software (2003)
Outline:This study examines the extent to which the open-source model constitutes an alternative to the production of commercial software with a special focus on how the absence of market processes impact this form of software production. The first section of the study describes the basics of the software market and software development. The second part briefly describes the beginnings of open-source software, followed by an economic assessment of open-source software and a discussion of its economic consequences for the software industry.
Client:Microsoft Deutschland GmbH
Position:Team leader
Material:Presentations, Publications